Democratic Delegate Dilemma in 3-D

I've been receiving a lot of flack about my presidential primary predictions for 2008. Back in early January, it seemed like John McCain was a long-shot to receive the Republican nomination, and that Clinton was a sure shoe-in on the left foot.

Now, only a couple of months later, it appears that John McCain is the shoe-in, while Hillary Rodham-Clinton is slightly behind in a neck-and-neck race with Obama for the Democratic nomination. Caught up in the historicity of the moment, it seems like everyone is predicting Obama as the big winner now. But not Rhetro Zenberg, (that's me).

Here's how it will play out

At this point, neither Obama nor Clinton can procure enough delegates to receive their party's nomination. That decision will have to be made at the Democratic Convention in Denver this August 26-28. Mr. Obama will go into the convention carrying more delegates than Ms. Clinton, however, this isn't about popularity... is it? Remember Al Gore? Yes,
Barack Obama will receive the majority of the votes in the primary, however he will not become the Democratic nominee.

My prediction is that it will be determined that the states carried by Obama in the primary will likely go Republican in the general election, and that Clinton strongholds, some of which are swing-states, will be more effective against McCain. And Hillary Rodham-Clinton will become the Democratic nominee, and on her way to becoming next President of the United States.

Presidential Race-ism

Remember, that it was the Democratic Party who fought against emancipation in the 19th century. The Democrats are not the party of civil rights, any more than the Republicans are the party of family values. Right now, the puppeteers of the Democrats are providing us with an entertaining song and dance routine, but when the show is over, status quo will prevail, and Obama will take his place in the back of the political bus.

There will be no outrage... there's plenty of great TV programming prepared to keep everyone distracted. And maybe, Barack will endorse Hillary as her vice-presidential candidate. That would make everyone content...when the Democrats win in November.